Friday, February 25, 2005

Apartment approvals rise

Kathryn O’Meara
February 04, 2005

The sharp increase in building approvals for high rise apartments and townhouses in December 2004 should not be interpreted as a turning point in this segment of the market, according to the Master Builders Australia.

According to the figures released from the Australian Bureau of Statistics, apartments and townhouses, rose by a massive 27%, 10.1% higher than last year.

The total number of dwelling units approved seasonally adjusted rose by 2.7% to 13,060 units but were 11.3% lower than last year.

“Building approvals for high rise apartments are traditionally highly volatile, therefore it is too early to tell whether the jump in December 2004 is a turning point in investors’ sentiment or whether this is simply land banking by developers in anticipation of a recovery sometime in the future; it is more likely to be the latter.” MBA Wilhelm Harnisch chief executive said.

HIA senior economist Harley Dale said that a moderate decline in building approvals for the December quarter overall was in line with expectations for a manageable correction to new housing activity.

“Clearly the urgency of potential home buyers has abated. Not to an extent, however, to generate a substantial drag on the industry. The current more relaxed attitude on the part of potential buyers is expected to translate into a market contraction of around 13% over this year and next.

“The underlying fundamentals that drive the demand for housing are very sound and a healthy underlying requirement should subsequently come back into its own,” Dale added.

Private sector house approvals fell by 5.6% to 8,217 dwelling units and were 19.8% lower than the same time last year.

On a state by state basis, seasonally adjusted approvals rose in New South Wales, up 0.8%, South Australia, up 3.4%, Queensland, up 6.1%, and Western Australia, up 8.8%. Approvals held steady in Tasmania while they were down by 10.7% in Victoria. In original terms, approvals increased by 28.1% in the Northern Territory and by 98.5% in the Australian Capital Territory.

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